Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1264.656449 1434.134267 1621.386779 1844.216404 2102.920377 2394.712979 2750.011196
2025-10-26 1005.919843 1231.223456 1503.015385 1857.556225 2311.503902 2878.171235 3646.821073
2025-11-02 880.326635 1133.823475 1458.281355 1909.129104 2527.458833 3357.594987 4576.658433
2025-11-09 783.746137 1050.947357 1409.471569 1933.783595 2694.634135 3780.108027 5485.564363
2025-11-16 707.621386 981.648232 1364.340480 1949.102232 2840.371588 4181.899125 6421.287165
2025-11-23 648.350539 926.703467 1329.441984 1969.463091 2989.242276 4601.397087 7448.446014
2025-11-30 603.131704 885.801288 1308.222673 2004.265625 3160.159855 5074.019579 8640.889318
2025-12-07 544.633899 818.114616 1237.964570 1951.142948 3177.809200 5291.018150 9417.984754
2025-12-14 494.460033 758.039594 1172.710696 1896.975442 3183.707631 5483.764838 10177.910789
2025-12-21 449.279843 701.537027 1107.269657 1834.107092 3164.327372 5624.718989 10857.208416
2025-12-28 433.149402 690.550456 1115.088520 1897.979491 3380.676333 6234.194810 12603.986197
2026-01-04 412.478078 669.950571 1104.307702 1926.607679 3533.358590 6740.838618 14231.512920
2026-01-11 390.838899 646.574082 1087.760699 1945.136440 3673.834320 7255.099124 16015.072821
2026-01-18 370.403609 623.647558 1070.033758 1959.762777 3809.427065 7783.599581 17963.028880
2026-01-25 357.526592 612.896458 1073.071930 2014.589551 4035.227295 8546.173541 20680.204401
2026-02-01 341.959441 595.850663 1062.635787 2040.816397 4202.674454 9203.861152 23291.163789
2026-02-08 326.509414 577.697605 1048.312703 2057.112739 4349.868233 9838.467866 26006.861621
2026-02-15 312.955942 561.994584 1037.231770 2078.775027 4512.070633 10538.451746 29107.969593
2026-02-22 302.105301 550.584424 1033.532550 2115.806833 4715.679635 11381.562204 32896.916267
2026-03-01 282.498265 520.604924 989.840621 2059.283804 4683.478280 11593.126363 34712.759667
2026-03-08 264.397536 492.372960 947.546702 2001.663635 4641.090355 11770.276927 36469.178298
2026-03-15 246.849744 464.110061 903.105400 1934.806938 4566.794347 11846.195290 37900.981694
2026-03-22 242.713301 462.810236 915.462914 2002.731547 4854.896451 13029.135243 43771.894540